Sad day. The debates are now all over, and we have 20 days before election day. This may have been McCain’s best performances. In actuality, he has had good moments in each debate, but he has been uneven. For every good moment, he seems to have two bad ones. And like Gore in 2000, McCain made in error in not controlling his reactions and body language.
According to CNN, debate watchers say Obama won by a margin of 58-31. 40 percent of these watchers were Democrats (37% of America currently leans Democrat) and 30 percent were Republican (27% of America is Republican). If you assumed these folks each sided with their nominee, Obama would have won the middle by an 18-1 margin. Not good for the candidate who is behind 6-14 points in the polls.
So where is the election today? On October 7, Obama had an 85% probability of winning 269 electoral votes (270 needed to win) and McCain had 150. Today:
